Monday, March 15, 2010

The coming showdown with China

Trade.  Taiwan.  Tibet.  China's refusal to revalue the yuan.  America's soaring debts.  There is much for the US and China to argue about.  And it seems that the leaders on both sides are more interested in finding reasons to disagree.

The Telegraph has a good op-ed outlining the upcoming conflict.  If anything, I fear that Mr. Evans-Pritchard is placing too much faith in the current US administration.  If the Chinese were facing Roosevelt I think they may play their hand more carefully.  But I think that they analysis is the same as mine--this US administration is not in control.  We can't keep our friends in line (see Israel) or get our top administrative agenda through Congress (see healthcare.)

Mr. Evans-Pritchard may be right that we have the stronger hand here.  But China is right that we don't know how to play the game.

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